Why I’d shun falling knife UK Oil & Gas Investments plc for this growth star

This company’s route to growth looks smoother than that of UK Oil & Gas Investments plc (LON: UKOG).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Hollywood Bowl

Image: Hollywood Bowl: Fair use

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

The market likes today’s full-year results from Hollywood Bowl Group (LSE: BOWL) and the shares are up almost 8% as I write. The numbers are good. Revenue rose almost 9% compared to a year ago with like-for-like sales up an encouraging 3.5%, suggesting the firm’s offering is hitting the spot for customers.

The firm is making money and earnings are rising. Net cash from operations increased more than 16% and adjusted underlying earnings after tax rose 30%, but adjusted diluted earnings per share eased by 8% due to an increased share count. The directors underlined the progress by declaring the first-time appearance of a meaningful full-year dividend that produces a yield a little over 1.9%, and a special dividend taking the yield up to more than 3.5% at today’s share price around 205p.

Strong growth

One of the things I like about the company is its narrow focus operating as the UK’s largest ten-pin bowling provider with 58 bowling centres across the UK under the Hollywood Bowl, AMF and Bowlplex brands. I reckon firms that specialise stand a better chance of doing things well than those that try to diversify their operations.

As well as rolling out its refurbishment and rebranding programme, the company opened three new centres during the period, which it says are performing “strongly.” Since the end of the trading year a fourth centre opened, suggesting that 2018 will be another good year for growth. Chief executive Stephen Burns reckons the rebrands and refurbishments have delivered significant returns,” and he says new centres opened in the year “have performed ahead of expectations.” 

There’s a “healthy” pipeline of new sites to feed ongoing expansion and the firm has plans to grow with “selective new openings and acquisitions.” One of the great things about the business is its healthy cash inflow. Customers pay before using the service so the firm gets to reinvest this flow of cash straight away. To me, the growth proposition with Hollywood Bowl looks robust and I’m more likely to buy some of the firm’s shares than I am those of UK Oil & Gas Investments (LSE: UKOG), for example.

Big potential

The oil and gas exploration firm is onshore UK-focused and raised £16.5m during 2017 to fund its four-well drilling and testing programme for 2018. With key regulatory permits already in place, the aim is to further appraise “the wider Kimmeridge continuous oil deposit plus the Horse Hill Portland oil discovery.” The directors’ lofty ambition is to provide stable commercial production and cash flow by early 2019. They reckon a positive outcome would give the company a solid base for further drilling and development of the “significant untapped Kimmeridge resource-base,” which underlies the firm’s extensive licence interests.

But as with all oil exploration, nothing is certain and there’s no guarantee that significant cash inflows will result. That’s one reason why investors have endured such a wild ride. The share price went as high as 9p in September but is near 3.5p today, and falling. Speculation drives these wild swings, but I reckon we’ll see less of that with Hollywood Bowl due to its strong and consistent cash flow, so I’d rather take my chances there than with UKOG’s make-or-break outcomes.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Kevin Godbold has no position in any of the shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Hollywood Bowl. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

2 FTSE 250 shares investors should consider for a £1,260 passive income in 2024

Investing a lump sum in these FTSE 250 shares could yield a four-figure dividend income this year. Are they too…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

This FTSE share has grown its decade annually for over 30 years. Can it continue?

Christopher Ruane looks at a FTSE 100 share that has raised its dividend annually for decades. He likes the business,…

Read more »

Elevated view over city of London skyline
Investing Articles

Few UK shares grew their dividend by 90% in 4 years. This one did!

Among UK shares, few have the recent track record of annual dividend increases to match this one. Our writer likes…

Read more »

Investing Articles

This FTSE 250 share yields 9.9%. Time to buy?

Christopher Ruane weighs some pros and cons of buying a FTSE 250 share for his portfolio that currently offers a…

Read more »

Affectionate Asian senior mother and daughter using smartphone together at home, smiling joyfully
Investing Articles

As the NatWest share price closes in on a new 5-year high, will it soon be too late to buy?

The NatWest share price has climbed strongly so far in 2024, as the whole bank sector has been enjoying a…

Read more »

Investing Articles

If the stock market crashes, I’ll pour shares of this luxury brand into my ISA

Nobody knows when the stock market will next crash. But this Fool already knows the stock he will buy without…

Read more »

2024 year number handwritten on a sandy beach at sunrise
Investing Articles

A Q1 trading update pushes the Beazley share price up a bit more. Is it still cheap?

The Beazley share price has been motoring up in what might turn out to be the start of a 2024…

Read more »

Midnight is celebrated along the River Thames in London with a spectacular and colourful firework display.
Investing Articles

Prediction: this will be the FTSE 100’s next great stock!

This FTSE 250 stock has more than doubled in value during the past five years. Our writer thinks it could…

Read more »